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Anticipated Workload & Labour Requirements

Members are anticipating that the overall increase in workload levels experienced this quarter will not continue and a fall is expected during the period January to March 1998. Growth of work levels in the private sector will continue, although at a slower rate than in the current quarter. In the public sector workload levels will continue to fall at the same rate as recorded this quarter Members envisage that public new housing output will continue to fall but at a much slower rate. Workload levels in all areas of the repair and maintenance sector, except private housing, are expected to drop, (Table 12).

Table 12
Percentage of firms reporting increased and decreased anticipated workloads, 1st Q 1998
  4th Q 1997 Actual 1st Q 1998 Expected
inc Same Dec % Balance Inc Same Dec % Balance
New Housing    
Private 21 66 13 +8 19 64 17 +2
Public 4 76 20 -16 12 75 13 -1
 
Other New Work    
Private industrial 19 67 14 +5 15 66 19 -4
Private Commercial 18 69 13 +4 26 58 16 +10
Public 17 64 19 -2 19 60 21 -2
 
Repair & Maintenance    
Private housing 30 56 14 +16 22 60 18 +4
Public housing 19 66 15 +4 20 58 22 -2
Private non-housing 21 61 19 +2 15 66 19 -4
Public non-housing 15 66 19 -4 9 72 19 -10
 
TOTAL PRIVATE 23 62 15 +8 19 68 18 +1
TOTAL PUBLIC 14 68 18 -4 15 66 19 -4
ALL WORK 20 64 16 +4 18 63 19 -1

On aggregate, member firms are expecting the size of their workforce over the next three months to fall. Fewer firms look to be increasing their workforce against a greater percentage expecting to decrease it. Eastern Counties' member firms only, are expecting to increase workforce. In the majority of regions, members anticipate having to decrease their workforce, (Table 13).

Table 13
Percentage of firms reporting increased and decreased anticipated workloads by region, 1st Q 1998
  4th Q 1997 Actual 1st Q 1998 Expected
Inc Same Dec Inc Same Dec
Northern 14 77 9 5 80 15
North West 20 65 15 5 74 21
Yorkshire & Trent 17 77 7 6 88 6
Midlands 4 92 4 4 92 4
Eastern 14 75 11 19 66 15
London 23 68 9 10 80 10
Southern 11 85 4 11 78 11
South West 23 68 9 21 67 12
TOTAL 15 77 8 11 78 11

First posted: 11 January 1999. Last modified: 27 July 1999.

 

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